JP Journal of Biostatistics

The JP Journal of Biostatistics is a highly regarded open-access international journal indexed in the Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI). It focuses on the application of statistical theory and methods in resolving problems in biological, biomedical, and agricultural sciences. The journal encourages the submission of experimental papers that employ relevant algorithms and also welcomes survey articles in the fields of biostatistics and epidemiology.

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ON USING ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS OF A LINEAR MODEL FOR CHANGE POINT DETECTION: APPLICATION TO WEATHER DATA

Authors

  • Mahamat Ali ISSAKA
  • Amary DIOP
  • H. G. IZADDINE

Keywords:

linear model, change detection, ordinary least squares, residual error, Student test, Fisher test

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.17654/0973514325007

Abstract

This paper addresses the standard linear model, particularly focusing on the case of linear regression. After establishing certain results related to ordinary least squares, the Student’s t-test, and the Fisher test, we introduce change point detection within the linear model framework, using estimated coefficients as the test statistic. Finally, the proposed model is applied to real weather data from the N’Djamena region in Chad to detect changes in precipitation patterns.

Received: July 31, 2024
Revised: September 2, 2024
Accepted: September 13, 2024

References

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Amary Diop, Estimation de Mesures de Risques en Présence de Données Tronquées et Détection de Changement avec les Coefficients estimés du Modèle Linéaire, Thèse de Doctorat de l’Université Gaston Berger, Saint-Louis, 2024.

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Marc S. Paolella, Linear models and time-series analysis: regression, ANOVA, ARMA and GARCH, Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics, 2018.

A. Zeileis, A unified approach to structural change tests based on ML scores, F statistics, and OLS residuals, Econometric Rev. 24(4) (2005), 445-466.

A. Zeileis, Implementing a class of structural change tests: an econometric computing approach, Comput. Statist. Data Anal. 50 (2006), 2987-3008. doi: 10.1016/j.csda.2005.07.001.

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doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9574.2007.00371.x.

Published

2025-01-06

Issue

Section

Articles

How to Cite

ON USING ESTIMATED COEFFICIENTS OF A LINEAR MODEL FOR CHANGE POINT DETECTION: APPLICATION TO WEATHER DATA. (2025). JP Journal of Biostatistics, 25(1), 145-175. https://doi.org/10.17654/0973514325007

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